03-18-2025

Traders, 

The overnight session told the story.

Let’s look at what happened with the ES

ES is on the left and SPY is on the right. 

The London session took out the buy stops left in the Asia high. 

Then went for the sell stops in the  Asia low. 

It continued to sell off . 

It’s not consolidating. 

This consolidation is what the market will typically do right before FOMC. 

You can expect some movement but mostly choppiness in the market. 

The market does this for the BIG FOMC move. 

I don’t know if I’ll see a setup until after 230 tomorrow when Powell is speaking. 

If you watch the charts during the speech, the markets will be very volatile. 

If Powell injects fear into the markets, then we’ll have a sell off. 

If he is optimistic, then the market will rally. 

I’ve seen the markets move BIG TIME post FOMC. 

So I would say waiting till at least 230PM tomorrow could be the smart move here. 

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Until next time!

Voz