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The Wind Aided It, But I Will Take It.

Both zones today were low probability. I said it out loud this morning and I meant it. The action this week has been spazzy, the setups tighter than I want, and I was honest about all of it before the bell. Low probability zones, and I told members that upfront. And then the call zone completed. Trump's Iran comments hit at 10:15 and the market ripped. JonDough called it wind aided and put an asterisk on the win. He is not entirely wrong. But I want to point something out. The zone was already there. The framework had you in the right place before anyone knew what was coming. The wind does not build the zone. You build the zone before the wind. Here is what that looked like today:   Low probability zones on a spazzy week, and the room printed anyway. Tonight NVDA reports after the bell, and

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NVDA: The print is beside the point

This market didn't need NVDA for months and it showed. The rally ran wide, other parts of the AI trade carried it, and the tape found plenty to hold onto. NVDA stepped back and the market went without it. But I think Wednesday night changes that. This market has been stalling, sitting right at the edge of where it either breaks higher or rolls over. NVDA's print is the push. The print itself is not going to tell you anything. Four quarters in a row NVDA beat expectations, so the beat is already priced in. It's how the market reacts to the guidance that gives you the read. Keep Reading Does the market rally on the news and hold it through 10:30? That's the only thing I'm watching Thursday morning. By 10:30, the initial reaction has had time to settle, and if the rally is still holding, the tape is

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The chart just gave me a signal. I’m not acting on it.

═══════════════════════════════════════════════ I Need a Couple More Days The SPY broke out of my channel today on a Trump tweet. At 3:00 pm, Trump posted that he was holding off on the planned military attack on Iran. The market ripped. The candle popped right out of the perimeters I have been using as my channel, and it closed outside. This is concerning, absolutely. But it is one candle, and one candle is not enough. It's so funny how Trump at 3:00 decided to do this news. A lot of stuff happens during the start of the hour, and this is one of the reasons we push the fuse trade back to 3:15. I'm not kidding when I say we've seen this before. We could wick right back up into the channel, and the traders who flip bullish on the first candle get their money taken by the same chart a couple

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