Trade To Close

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The Two-Second Check Before You Enter

The bond market is not my wheelhouse and I'm not going to sit here and pretend it is. Everybody was asking me this morning what was driving the gap down and I don't have a good answer for you guys. Tariff threats maybe, bonds probably. I just trade what's in front of me. What was in front of me was the open, and the open was a mess. And the whole day was if you really think about it. The SPY gapped down, we flushed lower, and about sixty seconds in there was one enormous candle sitting there that looked like the start of something. It never really materialized, the SPY ended the day just down 0.29%. But if you chased the move lower, you got wicked out. So I’m going to share with you something to help avoid getting wicked out, doesn’t matter if are trading stocks or the

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3 Trades to Watch for Next Week

So Nvidia is just sitting there mid chart, up near the highs, in no man's land, and there's nothing underneath it and nothing right above it either. When a stock is parked near its highs going into earnings it's going to look for a breakout, that's just what they do, so I take a local low to high and that gives me $231 to $240 on the upside. Fine. Anybody can draw that one. The downside is where I do something you're probably not doing. Pull up your volume profile, which is that sideways bar graph running down the right side of your chart telling you how much trading happened at every single price. Everybody looks at the fat part. Where's the point of control, where has it spent all its time, where's the heaviest volume. I'm looking for the opposite. I want to know where the volume isn't. Because

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That Thin Zone on Your Chart Isn’t Real

Okay so let's talk about the volume profile, and specifically the thin zone. If you've never used one, here's the whole thing in a sentence. It shows you how much trading happened at every price level, stacked sideways on your chart like a bar graph turned on its side. Fat area, tons of shares changed hands there. Skinny area, almost nothing did. That skinny part is the thin zone. And we care about it because where nobody traded, nobody has a position to defend, so there's no pressure sitting there and price can just slice right through. It's a hallway with nobody standing in it. So you hear it constantly. Oh my God, there's a thin zone, this thing is going to rip. Okay. Now here's where people get it wrong. I pulled up Apple in the room today and I asked everybody, with volume profile analysis, what do you

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