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This is worse than I thought.

SSL: The market is not just selling off. It is showing you exactly what comes next. Here is what I see. I said it this morning at 8 AM. This is worse than I thought. Not because of the headlines. Not because of Iran or the Strait of Hormuz or whatever Trump said last night. Because of what the chart is telling me. Traders always show their hand before they act. Right now they are showing me a descending channel. A nasty one. Every bounce gets sold. Every rally finds a lower high. That is not panic. That is a trend. This morning the S&P was down nearly 1%. The Nasdaq down 1.4%. The Dow briefly hit correction territory, meaning it is now more than 10% off its recent high. That is five straight weeks of losses. They are not confused. They are selling. Here is what most people are

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This Is the Easiest Chart of the Year.

This Is the Easiest Chart of the Year. I mean that. Look at what SPY is doing right now. It is moving inside a clean descending channel. A descending channel is when a stock or index makes a series of lower highs and lower lows, bouncing between two parallel downward sloping lines. Upper perimeter around $690. Lower perimeter around $645 to $650. Every time price touches the top of that channel, you short it. Every time it touches the bottom, you buy it. That is the trade. That is all it is. I know the headlines are screaming. War, oil, Fed uncertainty, every pundit on television telling you something different. Ignore it. The chart is not screaming. The chart is actually one of the cleanest setups I have seen this year. Price is moving in a defined range and it is telling you exactly what to do at every turn.

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We Have Seen This Before.

I am going to show you something. Last year, before most people saw it coming, the market followed a very specific sequence. It consolidated in a tight range for weeks. Then it started channeling lower. Then it broke through the 200-day moving average. Then came the capitulation. Three ugly candles. Boom, boom, boom. Then the rally took it right back up. I called every step of that sequence in real time. Now look at what is happening right now. The consolidation just ended. We channeled lower through December and February. We just broke through the 200-day moving average. Sound familiar? The 200-day moving average is the long-term trend line that most serious money uses as a floor. When the price cleanly breaks below it, it is not a buy signal. It is a warning. It means the trend has changed, and the crowd is about to get shaken out. Here

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