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It’s Hard to Be a Rich Permabear

It's hard to be a rich permabear. Trading from Villefranche. Tough office, I know. I say that with love, because I know some of you are sitting there in this raging bull market, staring at all-time highs, absolutely itching to short something. And look, I get it. There are cracks out there. There are always cracks if you go looking. Funny thing about where I'm sitting right now. Villefranche has one of the deepest natural harbors in the whole Mediterranean. The water looks calm and gorgeous on top, and then about a mile out it drops straight into a 1,700-foot underwater canyon. Beautiful surface, huge drop underneath. That's this market, if I'm being honest. But here's the thing about that drop: it's been sitting there the whole time, and the water's still flat. Bitcoin rolled over first. It broke symmetry back in late May and started following through to the

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The $25,000 wall comes down June 4th

Let me tell you about a wall, because this week it finally comes down. For 25 years, one rule decided who got to day trade actively and who didn't. If you had $25,000 in your account, you could move in and out all day, take the quick setups, turn a small morning win into a bigger one by lunch. If you didn't have the twenty-five grand, the system slapped your hand. Four day trades in five days with a smaller account and you got flagged, capped, or frozen into a cash account for two days before you could trade again. Read that back. The thing standing between you and active trading was never whether you were good at it. It was whether you were rich enough to be allowed. That rule has a name, the Pattern Day Trader rule, written in 2001 after the dot-com crash to protect small traders

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SPY is in a bowling alley right now

The market closed and this puppy did exactly what I wanted it to do, so I'm pouring myself a piña colada because we earned it. Look at the chart. SPY is sitting inside a beautiful upward channel and the bumpers are up.   You know when you bowl with kids and they put the bumpers in so the ball can't end up in the gutter? It just rolls down the lane bouncing back and forth, smacks into a pin or two at the end? That's literally what price is doing right now. The bumpers keep this puppy from breaking down, the channel walks it up the lane, and the pins (your next leg of upside) are sitting at the end waiting to get knocked over. Anywho, the chart is talking to me and what it's saying is: chill out. This week was short and the chart did exactly what it

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