We Are Right Below All-Time Highs. I Am Still Not Calling This a Breakout.
We are sitting right below all-time highs. Mark pointed out this morning that VIX is back to where it was in early February before any of this started. Bank earnings came in strong across the board. The tape looks good on the surface. And I am still not calling this a breakout. Here is why. What I need to see is a gap up above the current resistance. A clean move that takes us out of this range. Until that happens, we are still inside the mess. Sitting below a ceiling is not the same as breaking through it. My 40 is still pointed up. The structure is intact. QQQ has more room than SPY right now, which tells me there is still participation in this tape. But the W pattern question is real. Are we at the top of the W before things roll back over, or are we