Trade To Close

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When Investors Get Scared, Traders Feast

The QQQ is up about 15% year-to-date. I made that this morning in 2 minutes trading QQQ options, and before you tell me that's not apples to apples, I know, that's the point. If you own the Qs, you woke up today a little shook. Over the weekend the guys running Anthropic and OpenAI came out and said the whole AI industry needs to slow down for safety, Musk agreed with them, and Sam Altman said OpenAI isn't going public this year, so the market did what it always does with that kind of headline, which is sell first and ask questions later. All of the AI stocks took a hit… If you're sitting on an AI-heavy portfolio, you were red before you finished your coffee, and I know exactly what that feels like because I've got an investment account too and nobody likes opening it on a morning like

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The First 15 Minutes Are the Wild Wild West

Okay so, the first 15 minutes: I call it the Wild Wild West, and I'm not being cute. The market's trying to figure out what it's doing. Overnight orders are hitting, the news from the morning is getting priced, and price is going up, down, sideways, blah blah blah, before it picks a path. A move that looks real at 9:33 reverses at 9:41, and that's not sometimes, that's all the time. That alone should slow you down. But that's not the check. The check is what the option costs you. In the first five minutes of the day, options are spendy. Nobody tells new traders this. The same call you'd pay one price for at 10:15 costs you a lot more at 9:31, because the whole market is uncertain and that uncertainty gets priced into every contract. So you're paying top dollar to take the highest-risk trade of the

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Why I Won’t Swing This Thing Right Now

People keep asking me why I prefer to day trade the QQQs in the morning. Fair question, because it's a great instrument. It moves, it's liquid, the options are cheap. And you just need a tiny move in the index to get a triple-digit return on your options. It’s how I’ve nailed 44 out of my last 50 trades in it. So why wouldn't I hold it for a few days and let it run if my entries are so on point? Because I've been staring at this chart all week and there's one feature on it that decides whether the next move is up or down, and right now that feature is telling me to sit on my hands for anything longer than a session. It has nothing to do with the trend or a moving average or volume. It's the shape of the pause. Below I'll show you

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