Let me tell you what I’m not doing in 2026
- Olivia Voz
Let me tell you what I’m not doing in 2026: chasing.
Bitcoin didn’t get its Santa Rally. Q4 was crypto’s worst quarter since 2018. Down 22%. The seasonal pattern just… failed.
Here’s what’s really telling me something: On-chain data shows long-term holders dumping at rates we haven’t seen since 2020. Nearly $300 billion worth of dormant Bitcoin changed hands this year. The 1-5 year holders are selling while the 5+ year crowd holds.
That’s not accumulation. That’s distribution.
When Santa Doesn’t Show Up
The missing Santa Rally isn’t just market trivia. When that rally fails, January averages -0.2% instead of +1.4%. Full-year returns drop from 10.4% to 6.1%.
2022 proved this pattern. Market peaked in January, never looked back. S&P finished down 18%.
Does that guarantee a bear market? No. 2024 turned out fine despite a failed Santa Rally. But when sellers dominate what should be the easiest week of the year, they’re telling you something.
I’m listening. And I’m bearish near-term.
This Is Where My Traders Have an Edge
Game Plan had an 87% win rate in 2025. 153 total wins. 41% average return.
That didn’t come from being smart. It came from being patient.
We only enter when price hits our zones. We don’t chase. We don’t FOMO. We wait.
That same discipline matters even more in choppy markets. They punish impatience. They reward traders who can sit on their hands until the setup is right.
The discounts are coming. Question is: Will you have dry powder when they show up, or will you have blown your capital chasing moves that didn’t deserve the attention?
Pressure first. Opportunity second. That’s how I see 2026.
My 300 Game Plan traders are ready for both.
P.S. While I’m staying patient in stocks and crypto, Mark’s dropping 7 Zero-Decay Trades tomorrow (December 30th). Post-Quad Witching volume collapsed exactly like clockwork, VIX is sitting at multi-month lows, and his order flow tracker is lighting up with institutional positioning into 2026. Last year these same holiday setups went 6 for 7 with average gains over 67%.
Join Special Situations before tomorrow’s deadline – discipline in one market doesn’t mean sitting out when the edge is clear in another.