Hey gamers,
So I’m sitting here this morning watching everyone lose their minds about Iran, and I’m like… you know what? This is exactly why I stick to my charts instead of trading headlines.
Mark and I just got off our live stream, and honestly, the whole thing was wild. Oil’s getting absolutely destroyed – down like 7% – while SPY is doing this beautiful dance around VWAP that had me literally stopping mid-sentence.
You know that feeling when a setup just clicks? I literally stopped mid-sentence and was like “Oh my Voz!” – Mark probably thought I lost my mind, but when you see a setup this clean, you just gotta appreciate it.
So we’re live, talking about how markets historically handle geopolitical stuff (spoiler alert: they usually rally after the initial panic), when Mark shows me this chart and I’m like “Mark, we got a nice break over VWAP, so this is looking very bullish.”
And honestly? While everyone else is glued to news feeds about Iranian missiles, I’m watching SPY break cleanly over the 200-day moving average like it’s no big deal.
Here’s what I saw: We had this perfect W-shape correction, broke that symmetry, and then just casually strolled over the 200-day like it was asking permission. The volume profile was showing massive support at the point of control, and I’m thinking… this is textbook.
But you know what the best part was? Mark’s telling me about Ukraine – how the war started February 24th, VIX spiked, everyone panicked, and then less than a month later the market was higher than before the first missiles were launched.
I mean, come on. The pattern is right there.
Look, I get it. Iran launching missiles sounds scary. But you know what I told our gamers this morning? “The news lines are scary, but the trades are not.”
While everyone’s getting emotional about geopolitics, I’m just following my zones like always. And honestly, it’s working exactly like it should.
I was looking at those 598 calls, watching price action around 596.91, and thinking this is what I’m gonna call a lower probability zone. Not my prettiest setup – you guys know I only pick the prettiest ones – but still totally tradeable.
The thing is, Mark, there are game plan zones everywhere – they’re like ghosts or spiders all around us. But I only pick the prettiest ones. Just like Mark says about picking partners – I only take the best setups.
So oil crashes 4%, everyone thinks the world is ending, and meanwhile SPY is just casually breaking resistance levels like it’s Tuesday.
Mark’s showing me how this energy selloff lines up perfectly with the market recovery. Like, almost perfectly. The correlation is so clean it’s almost funny.
And I’m sitting there thinking… you know what? This is exactly why I simplified my game plan rules. We don’t need to get all wordy about geopolitics. We just need to follow the technicals.
Obviously the rules are simple: if you have a five-minute closing candle into the zone, enter the zone. Take your profit at the upside target. That’s it. No emotions, no news reactions, just systematic execution.
Here’s what I love about days like this: while everyone else is trading headlines, the technical setups are just sitting there waiting.
We broke over VWAP. We’re above the 200-day moving average. Path of least resistance is obviously to the upside. And if we break over the high of the day at 598.04, this thing is gonna absolutely rip.
I mean, look at the setup: you’ve got people shorting right at that break of symmetry – perfect timing, honestly – but with all this support underneath, what happens when you squeeze a short? You’re gonna see this thing blow higher.
It’s like the market is screaming “buy me” while everyone’s distracted by news that historically doesn’t matter for more than a few weeks.
Obviously this doesn’t qualify as an official game plan for what I put out as a trade – this is what I’m gonna call a lower probability zone. But you know what? If you wanna take a trade, you’d be long right now.
If this technical picture holds up, we could be looking at a really nice setup for the rest of the week.
You know, I keep saying this: we’re taking into account not just the technicals, not just seeing how traders are reacting, but also the fundamentals about how to trade war in general.
And the fundamentals are pretty simple – markets panic initially, then they figure out it’s not as bad as everyone thought, then they rally.
Mark showed me the Ukraine example. I could show you others. The pattern repeats because human psychology repeats.
Look, I’m not saying ignore world events. But I am saying that my June track record speaks for itself – eight game plans, only one loss.
I mean, look at these numbers: 53%, 38%, 68%, 24%, 45%, 32%, 147%, 147%, 22%, and 90%. When I saw that 90% winner I was like, “Oh my Voz!” Go June, right?
And you know why? Because I trade charts, not headlines.
While everyone else is getting whipsawed by Iran news, I’m just following my system like always. And honestly, it’s been working pretty well.
So here’s what I want you to remember: the market doesn’t care about your emotions. It doesn’t care about scary headlines. It cares about supply and demand, support and resistance, and where the smart money is positioning.
And right now? The smart money is buying this dip while everyone else is panicking about stuff that probably won’t matter in two weeks.
Stay systematic, gamers. The charts don’t lie.
Olivia
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